Oversold

AAL

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

AAL's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +7.5%, operating margin -2.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 0.5% of revenue. The business score is 49.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 27.1% upside, or about $16.54.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 32.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 36.4% downside, or about $8.27, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AAL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE47x23x108% higher
PE percentile875074% higher
EPS-$0.49-$2.83$2.34 higher
FCF$285M-$545.3M+$830.3M
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AAL’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

AAL’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

AAL PE Valuation

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This table applies AAL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AAL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AAL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AAL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AAL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AAL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AAL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AAL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AAL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AAL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AAL PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares AAL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AAL Weekly Price

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This chart uses AAL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AAL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AAL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AAL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

BA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth73/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

BA's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +24.8%, operating margin +7.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -0.2% of revenue. The business score is 73.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 23.7% upside, or about $260.33.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 30.8% downside, or about $145.63, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE91x91x0% lower
EPS$2.31-$9.92$12.23 higher
FCF-$210M-$4.8B+$4.5B
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BA’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

BA’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

BA PE Valuation

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This table applies BA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BA Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks BA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BA Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks BA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BA Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks BA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BA Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in BA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BA Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares BA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BA Weekly Price

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This chart uses BA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares BA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BA Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.