Oversold

AAL

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

AAL's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +7.5%, operating margin -2.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 0.5% of revenue. The business score is 49.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 27.1% upside, or about $16.54.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 32.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 36.4% downside, or about $8.27, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AAL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE47x23x108% higher
PE percentile875074% higher
EPS-$0.49-$2.83$2.34 higher
FCF$285M-$545.3M+$830.3M
Loading historical comparisons…

AAL’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AAL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

AAL’s outlook is mixed, supported by an expected return to profitability.

AAL PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies AAL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AAL Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks AAL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AAL Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks AAL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AAL Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks AAL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AAL Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in AAL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AAL Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AAL PE vs Industrials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares AAL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AAL Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses AAL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AAL Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares AAL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AAL Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

RKLB

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth77/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential56/ 100

RKLB's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +52.5%, operating margin +15 percentage points. The business score is 76.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 67.9% upside, or about $105.69.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 55.6% downside, or about $27.95, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RKLB vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.28-$0.31$0.04 higher
FCF-$398.4M-$148.2M-$250.1M
Loading historical comparisons…

RKLB’s earnings are above their historical averages.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

RKLB’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

RKLB PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies RKLB's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks RKLB's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks RKLB's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks RKLB's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RKLB Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in RKLB's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RKLB Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares RKLB's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RKLB Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses RKLB's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares RKLB's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RKLB Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.