Oversold

AAOI

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth68/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential67/ 100

AAOI's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to a return to profit and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +61.8%, operating margin +1.7 percentage points. The business score is 67.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 92.5% upside, or about $202.82.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 67% downside, or about $34.77, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AAOI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.78-$2.42$1.64 higher
FCF-$413.3M-$81M-$332.2M
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AAOI’s earnings are above their historical averages.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

AAOI’s outlook is generally improving, supported by an expected return to profitability.

AAOI PE Valuation

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This table applies AAOI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AAOI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AAOI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AAOI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AAOI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AAOI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AAOI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AAOI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AAOI Weekly Price

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This chart uses AAOI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AAOI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AAOI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

MNDY

Valuation66/ 100
Cash flow & growth87/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

MNDY's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 5 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 9.6%, from $100.71 to $91.07. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 4.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 37× versus the full-history median of 275.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 65.8/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 65.8/100. The model applies a 33.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 227.9× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +24.2%, earnings +213.2%, operating margin +4.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 21.8% of revenue. The business score is 86.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 46.6% upside, or about $127.31.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 19.4%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 45.6% downside, or about $47.24, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MNDY vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE37x290x87% lower
PE percentile175067% lower
EPS$2.35-$1.23$3.57 higher
FCF$298.5M$140.4M113% higher
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MNDY’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MNDY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

MNDY’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

MNDY PE Valuation

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This table applies MNDY's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MNDY Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MNDY's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MNDY Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MNDY's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MNDY Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MNDY's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MNDY Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MNDY's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MNDY Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MNDY PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares MNDY's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MNDY Weekly Price

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This chart uses MNDY's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MNDY Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MNDY's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MNDY Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.