Oversold

AAOI

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth68/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential67/ 100

AAOI's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to a return to profit and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +61.8%, operating margin +1.7 percentage points. The business score is 67.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 92.5% upside, or about $202.82.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 67% downside, or about $34.77, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AAOI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.78-$2.42$1.64 higher
FCF-$413.3M-$81M-$332.2M
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AAOI’s earnings are above their historical averages.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

AAOI’s outlook is generally improving, supported by an expected return to profitability.

AAOI PE Valuation

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This table applies AAOI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AAOI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AAOI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AAOI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AAOI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AAOI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AAOI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AAOI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AAOI Weekly Price

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This chart uses AAOI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AAOI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AAOI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

MXL

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth77/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential60/ 100

MXL's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +50.5%, operating margin +23.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 0.6% of revenue. The business score is 77.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 65.5% upside, or about $123.41.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 20.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 60.1% downside, or about $29.75, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MXL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE24x37x34% lower
PE percentile405019% lower
EPS-$1.19-$0.75$0.44 lower
FCF$3.3M$88.1M96% lower
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MXL’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MXL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

MXL’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

MXL PE Valuation

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This table applies MXL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MXL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks MXL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MXL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks MXL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MXL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks MXL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MXL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in MXL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MXL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MXL PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares MXL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MXL Weekly Price

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This chart uses MXL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MXL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares MXL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MXL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.