Oversold

AAOI

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth68/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential67/ 100

AAOI's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to a return to profit and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +61.8%, operating margin +1.7 percentage points. The business score is 67.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 92.5% upside, or about $202.82.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 67% downside, or about $34.77, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AAOI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.78-$2.42$1.64 higher
FCF-$413.3M-$81M-$332.2M
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AAOI’s earnings are above their historical averages.

AAOI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

AAOI’s outlook is generally improving, supported by an expected return to profitability.

AAOI PE Valuation

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This table applies AAOI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AAOI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AAOI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AAOI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AAOI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AAOI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AAOI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AAOI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AAOI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AAOI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AAOI PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AAOI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AAOI Weekly Price

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This chart uses AAOI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AAOI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AAOI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AAOI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

PLAB

Valuation47/ 100
Cash flow & growth51/ 100
Upside potential34/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

PLAB's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and expected margin pressure tempers an otherwise stable outlook, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 5.0%, from $27.73 to $29.13. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 3.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 13.6x versus 13x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 75 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1.2%, operating margin -2.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 12.7% of revenue. The business score is 51.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $2.42 of EPS and a 13.7× PE, suggesting about $33.07 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $33.34. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.79 of EPS and a 12.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $22.24 — 44% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

PLAB vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE10x15x33% lower
PE percentile185063% lower
EPS$2.84$1.6869% higher
FCF$110.4M$110.4M0% lower
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PLAB’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

PLAB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

PLAB’s outlook is generally stable, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

PLAB PE Valuation

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This table applies PLAB's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

PLAB Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks PLAB's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

PLAB Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks PLAB's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

PLAB Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks PLAB's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

PLAB Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in PLAB's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

PLAB Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

PLAB PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares PLAB's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

PLAB Weekly Price

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This chart uses PLAB's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

PLAB Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares PLAB's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

PLAB Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.