Oversold

AAT

Valuation8/ 100
Cash flow & growth28/ 100
Upside potential36/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

AAT's valuation is expensive, below average fundamentals limit its appeal, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 12 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.7%, from $22.43 to $22.04.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 12.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 79.9× versus the full-history median of 29.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 8.2/100. The model applies a 1.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 24.9× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -2.9%, earnings -77.9%, operating margin -13.9 percentage points. The business score is 28/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $24.72. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 23.3% downside, or about $16.49, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AAT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE80x37x118% higher
PE percentile985097% higher
EPS$0.27$0.7865% lower
FCF$88.7M$88.6M0%
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AAT’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

AAT’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AAT PE Valuation

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This table applies AAT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AAT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AAT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AAT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AAT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AAT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AAT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AAT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AAT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AAT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AAT PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares AAT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AAT Weekly Price

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This chart uses AAT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AAT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AAT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AAT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.