Oversold

ACEL

Valuation58/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ACEL's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.1%, from $11.87 to $11.88.

Valuation and price changes added 2.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 17.7× versus the full-history median of 21.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 61.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 58.3/100. The model applies a 4.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 20.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 19.9× PE and $0.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +8.7%, earnings +63.3%, operating margin +0.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 12.1% of revenue. The business score is 70.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $0.76 of EPS and a 19.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $15.11 — 27% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.56 of EPS and a 17.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $9.61 — 19% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ACEL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x40x56% lower
PE percentile245053% lower
EPS$0.67$0.4066% higher
FCF$167.9M$58.8M186% higher
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ACEL’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ACEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

ACEL’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

ACEL PE Valuation

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This table applies ACEL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ACEL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ACEL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ACEL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ACEL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ACEL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ACEL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ACEL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ACEL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ACEL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ACEL PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares ACEL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ACEL Weekly Price

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This chart uses ACEL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ACEL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ACEL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ACEL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.