Oversold

ACIC

Valuation58/ 100
Cash flow & growth68/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

ACIC's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 0.4%, from $9.50 to $9.54.

Valuation and price changes added 4.0 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 4.8× versus the full-history median of 6.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 68.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 58.4/100. The model applies a -8% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 6.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 5.4× PE and $2.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +3.4%, earnings +23.3%, operating margin +6.2 percentage points. The business score is 68/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.05 of EPS and a 5.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $11.20 — 17% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.43 of EPS and a 4.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $6.40 — 33% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ACIC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE4.7x5.9x19% lower
PE percentile145072% lower
EPS$2.01-$0.70$2.71 higher
FCF-$31M-$66.2M+$35.1M
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ACIC’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ACIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

ACIC’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

ACIC PE Valuation

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This table applies ACIC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ACIC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ACIC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ACIC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ACIC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ACIC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ACIC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ACIC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ACIC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ACIC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ACIC PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares ACIC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ACIC Weekly Price

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This chart uses ACIC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ACIC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ACIC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ACIC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.