Oversold

ADAM

Valuation55/ 100
Cash flow & growth84/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

ADAM's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.5%, from $9.80 to $9.75. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 1.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 5.8× versus the full-history median of 7.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 55.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 55.1/100. The model applies a 6.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 7.5× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +57.3%, earnings +425%, operating margin +16.8 percentage points. The business score is 83.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with typical movements among stocks in the same sector, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 20.4% upside, or about $11.74.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

Sector price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 25.4% downside, or about $7.27, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ADAM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE5.8x16x63% lower
PE percentile3.95192% lower
EPS$1.68-$1.26$2.94 higher
FCF$156.4M$78.8M98% higher
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ADAM’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ADAM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

ADAM’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

ADAM PE Valuation

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This table applies ADAM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ADAM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ADAM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ADAM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ADAM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ADAM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ADAM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ADAM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ADAM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ADAM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ADAM PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares ADAM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ADAM Weekly Price

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This chart uses ADAM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ADAM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ADAM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ADAM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.