Oversold

ADBE

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

ADBE's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +11.5%, earnings +11.8%, operating margin -0.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 42.1% of revenue. The business score is 69.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 23.8% upside, or about $312.26.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 18%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 30.4% downside, or about $175.55, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ADBE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE14x41x65% lower
PE percentile6.95086% lower
EPS$17.92$12.2347% higher
FCF$10.9B$7.6B44% higher
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ADBE’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ADBE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionTight

ADBE’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

ADBE PE Valuation

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This table applies ADBE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ADBE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ADBE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ADBE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ADBE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ADBE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ADBE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ADBE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ADBE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ADBE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ADBE PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares ADBE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ADBE Weekly Price

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This chart uses ADBE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ADBE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ADBE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ADBE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

LITE

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth85/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

LITE's valuation appears fair while strong fundamentals support the investment case and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +83.2%, operating margin +29.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 18.3% of revenue. The business score is 85.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 51.7% upside, or about $1406.30.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 18.3%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 46.4% downside, or about $496.89, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

LITE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE149x90x65% higher
PE percentile825064% higher
EPS-$92.96-$0.25$92.71 lower
FCF$550.5M$187.7M193% higher
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LITE’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

LITE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionTight

LITE’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

LITE PE Valuation

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This table applies LITE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

LITE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks LITE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

LITE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks LITE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

LITE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks LITE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

LITE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in LITE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

LITE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

LITE PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares LITE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

LITE Weekly Price

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This chart uses LITE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

LITE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares LITE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

LITE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.