Oversold

ADBE

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

ADBE's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +11.5%, earnings +11.8%, operating margin -0.3 percentage points. Free cash flow is 42.1% of revenue. The business score is 69.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 23.8% upside, or about $312.26.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 18%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 30.4% downside, or about $175.55, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ADBE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE14x41x65% lower
PE percentile6.95086% lower
EPS$17.92$12.2347% higher
FCF$10.9B$7.6B44% higher
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ADBE’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ADBE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionTight

ADBE’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

ADBE PE Valuation

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This table applies ADBE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ADBE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ADBE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ADBE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ADBE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ADBE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ADBE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ADBE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ADBE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ADBE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ADBE PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares ADBE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ADBE Weekly Price

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This chart uses ADBE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ADBE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ADBE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ADBE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

RDDT

Valuation70/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

RDDT's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Score change since last week

The score rose 2 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 1.0%, from $153.00 to $154.46.

Valuation and price changes added 2.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 36.7× versus the full-history median of 107.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 69.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 70/100. The model applies a 44.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 55.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 51.9× PE and $6.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +66.6%, earnings +264.4%, operating margin +20.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 36.7% of revenue. The business score is 94.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.69 of EPS and a 51.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $347.32. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 120.1% upside, or about $347.25.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.81 of EPS and a 32.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $122.58 — 22% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RDDT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE37x113x68% lower
PE percentile5.65189% lower
EPS$4.30-$0.62$4.92 higher
FCF$1B$108.3M840% higher
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RDDT’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

RDDT’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

RDDT PE Valuation

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This table applies RDDT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks RDDT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks RDDT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks RDDT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RDDT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in RDDT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RDDT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares RDDT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RDDT Weekly Price

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This chart uses RDDT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares RDDT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RDDT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.