Oversold

ADP

Valuation45/ 100
Cash flow & growth51/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

ADP's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score rose 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 3.4%, from $287.48 to $277.62. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 0.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 36.6x versus 32.6x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 109 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +6.7%, operating margin -7.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 22.7% of revenue. The business score is 51.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $8.62 of EPS and a 35.1× PE, suggesting about $302.35 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $308.50. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $6.17 of EPS and a 32.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $198.67 — 29% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ADP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE24x27x11% lower
PE percentile245052% lower
EPS$10.95$8.0137% higher
FCF$5B$3.5B44% higher
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ADP’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ADP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

ADP’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

ADP PE Valuation

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This table applies ADP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ADP Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ADP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ADP Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ADP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ADP Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ADP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ADP Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ADP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ADP Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ADP PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares ADP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ADP Weekly Price

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This chart uses ADP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ADP Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ADP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ADP Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

EOSE

ValuationN/A
Cash flow & growthN/A
Upside potentialN/A
Risk potentialN/A

Valuation

The valuation score compares today’s PE with recent history and similar earnings periods. Stronger growth supports a higher valuation; weaker growth lowers it. Earnings that are difficult to compare receive less weight.

Cash flow & growth

The business score reflects revenue and earnings growth, profit margins and free cash flow. Recent results show whether the business is improving or weakening. Measures must fit the business; incomplete or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate upside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

EOSE vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$6.83-$3.12$3.71 lower
FCF-$420.8M-$178.5M-$242.3M
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EOSE’s earnings are below their historical averages.

EOSE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

EOSE’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

EOSE PE Valuation

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This table applies EOSE's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

EOSE Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks EOSE's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

EOSE Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks EOSE's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

EOSE Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks EOSE's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

EOSE Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in EOSE's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

EOSE Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

EOSE PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares EOSE's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

EOSE Weekly Price

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This chart uses EOSE's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

EOSE Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares EOSE's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

EOSE Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.