Oversold

ADSK

Valuation87/ 100
Cash flow & growth87/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

ADSK's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Score change since last week

The score rose 10 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 16.4%, from $260.66 to $217.90. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 10.1 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 27.5× versus the full-history median of 57.2× shown in the valuation table, producing 86.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 87.2/100. The model applies a 14.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 53.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 31.9× PE and $9.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +17.9%, earnings +59.8%, operating margin +4.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 36.4% of revenue. The business score is 86.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $9.44 of EPS and a 31.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $300.56. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 41.5% upside, or about $300.55.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $6.73 of EPS and a 26.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $175.90 — 17% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ADSK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE28x80x66% lower
PE percentile0.65099% lower
EPS$7.72$4.3279% higher
FCF$2.8B$1.7B69% higher
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ADSK’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ADSK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

ADSK’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

ADSK PE Valuation

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This table applies ADSK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ADSK Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ADSK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ADSK Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ADSK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ADSK Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ADSK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ADSK Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ADSK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ADSK Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ADSK PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares ADSK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ADSK Weekly Price

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This chart uses ADSK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ADSK Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ADSK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ADSK Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.