Oversold

AEM

Same as last week
Valuation70/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

AEM's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 17.2× versus the full-history median of 23.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 70/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 70.1/100. The model applies a 10.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 24.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 20.7× PE and $13.9 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +49.3%, earnings +97.6%, operating margin +12.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 31.2% of revenue. The business score is 93.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $13.87 of EPS and a 20.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $287.19. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 43.3% upside, or about $287.12.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $9.80 of EPS and a 16× PE, suggesting a share price of about $156.51 — 22% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AEM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE17x26x34% lower
PE percentile285043% lower
EPS$11.62$3.73212% higher
FCF$4.5B$1.3B234% higher
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AEM’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AEM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

AEM’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AEM PE Valuation

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This table applies AEM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AEM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AEM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AEM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AEM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AEM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AEM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AEM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AEM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AEM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AEM PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares AEM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AEM Weekly Price

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This chart uses AEM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AEM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AEM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AEM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.