Oversold

AERO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth41/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

AERO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +4.6%, earnings -92.7%, operating margin -5.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 10.1% of revenue. The business score is 40.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with typical movements among stocks in the same sector, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 30.7% upside, or about $19.62.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 40% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 26% and the PE falls 18.9%. That gives lower earnings at a lower valuation, or about the scenario price. Price swings alone suggest 38.2% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AERO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE10x6.3x63% higher
EPS$1.46-$42,547,403.10$42,547,404.55 higher
FCF$575.2M$208.2M176% higher
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AERO’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AERO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

AERO’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AERO PE Valuation

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This table applies AERO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AERO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AERO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AERO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AERO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AERO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AERO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AERO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AERO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AERO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AERO PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares AERO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AERO Weekly Price

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This chart uses AERO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AERO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AERO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AERO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.