Oversold

AESI

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth24/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

AESI's valuation appears fair, weak fundamentals weigh on the score, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -8.1%, operating margin -14.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is -17.2% of revenue. The business score is 23.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 27.4% upside, or about $18.04.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 44.3% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 27.6% and the PE falls 23%. That gives $0.11 per share at a 72.7× PE, or about $7.89. Price swings alone suggest 41.1% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AESI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE94x26x268% higher
PE percentile10050101% higher
EPS-$0.95$0.71234% lower
FCF-$184.1M-$19.2M-$164.9M
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AESI’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AESI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

AESI’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AESI PE Valuation

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This table applies AESI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AESI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AESI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AESI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AESI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AESI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AESI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AESI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AESI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AESI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AESI PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares AESI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AESI Weekly Price

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This chart uses AESI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AESI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AESI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AESI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.