Oversold

AGI

Same as last week
Valuation71/ 100
Cash flow & growth84/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

AGI's valuation is attractive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 16.1x versus 36.2x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 104 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +46.5%, operating margin +17.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 14.3% of revenue. The business score is 83.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.90 of EPS and a 20× PE, suggesting a share price of about $57.94 — 61% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.88 of EPS and a 15× PE, suggesting a share price of about $28.25 — 37% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AGI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE13x46x72% lower
PE percentile2.65095% lower
EPS$2.76$0.52432% higher
FCF$315.5M$116.7M170% higher
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AGI’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

AGI’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

AGI PE Valuation

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This table applies AGI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AGI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AGI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AGI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AGI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AGI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AGI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AGI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AGI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AGI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AGI PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares AGI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AGI Weekly Price

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This chart uses AGI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AGI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AGI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AGI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.