Oversold

ALHC

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

ALHC's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +37.2%, operating margin +1.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 4.5% of revenue. The business score is 70.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 38.4% upside, or about $17.45.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.4%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 43.5% downside, or about $7.12, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ALHC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE68x160x58% lower
EPS$0.19-$0.64$0.83 higher
FCF$205.5M-$22M+$227.5M
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ALHC’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ALHC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

ALHC’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

ALHC PE Valuation

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This table applies ALHC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ALHC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ALHC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ALHC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ALHC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ALHC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ALHC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ALHC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ALHC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ALHC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ALHC PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares ALHC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ALHC Weekly Price

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This chart uses ALHC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ALHC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ALHC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ALHC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.