Oversold

ALIT

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth61/ 100
Upside potential31/ 100
Risk potential83/ 100

ALIT's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -3.5%, operating margin +88.3 percentage points. The business score is 61.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 37.9% upside, or about $20.57.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 53.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 82.5% downside, or about $2.61, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ALIT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$77.18-$20.69$56.49 lower
FCF$249M$157.6M58% higher
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ALIT’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages.

ALIT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

ALIT’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

ALIT PE Valuation

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This table applies ALIT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ALIT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ALIT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ALIT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ALIT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ALIT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ALIT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ALIT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ALIT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ALIT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ALIT PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares ALIT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ALIT Weekly Price

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This chart uses ALIT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ALIT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ALIT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ALIT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.