Oversold

ALK

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth44/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential58/ 100

ALK's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to a return to profit and improving margins, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +9.8%, operating margin -5.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is -2.4% of revenue. The business score is 44.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 24.1% upside, or about $51.08.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 58.4% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 43.4% and the PE falls 26.5%. That gives $0.29 per share at a 59.5× PE, or about $17.12. Price swings alone suggest 36.6% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ALK vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE81x49x64% higher
PE percentile765052% higher
EPS-$1.59$0.121,395% lower
FCF-$350M-$56.5M-$293.5M
Loading historical comparisons…

ALK’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

ALK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

ALK’s outlook is generally improving, supported by an expected return to profitability.

ALK PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies ALK's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ALK Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks ALK's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ALK Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks ALK's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ALK Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks ALK's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ALK Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in ALK's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ALK Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ALK PE vs Industrials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares ALK's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ALK Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses ALK's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ALK Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares ALK's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ALK Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

BA

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth73/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

BA's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +24.8%, operating margin +7.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -0.2% of revenue. The business score is 73.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 23.7% upside, or about $260.33.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 30.8% downside, or about $145.63, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

BA vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE91x91x0% lower
EPS$2.31-$9.92$12.23 higher
FCF-$210M-$4.8B+$4.5B
Loading historical comparisons…

BA’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationDeteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

BA’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

BA PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies BA's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

BA Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks BA's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks BA's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

BA Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks BA's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

BA Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in BA's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

BA Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares BA's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

BA Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses BA's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares BA's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

BA Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.