Oversold

ALMS

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential70/ 100

ALMS's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: limited comparable growth data. The business score is 50/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 64.5% upside, or about $15.10.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 69.6% downside, or about $2.79, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ALMS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$3.80-$4.03$0.23 higher
FCF-$351.8M-$268M-$83.8M
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ALMS’s earnings are above their historical averages.

ALMS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

ALMS’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

ALMS PE Valuation

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This table applies ALMS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ALMS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ALMS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ALMS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ALMS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ALMS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ALMS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ALMS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ALMS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ALMS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ALMS PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares ALMS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ALMS Weekly Price

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This chart uses ALMS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ALMS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ALMS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ALMS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.