Oversold

ALVO

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth31/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

ALVO's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal, while forward estimates point to a return to profit and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -12.2%, operating margin -0.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is -61% of revenue. The business score is 31/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 28.8% upside, or about $6.81.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 54.2% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 38.7% and the PE falls 25.3%. That gives $0.27 per share at a 8.8× PE, or about $2.42. Price swings alone suggest 40.9% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ALVO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x24x50% lower
PE percentile051100% lower
EPS-$0.63-$2.11$1.47 higher
FCF-$300.2M-$233.8M-$66.5M
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ALVO’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ALVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning positive
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

ALVO’s outlook is generally improving, supported by an expected return to profitability.

ALVO PE Valuation

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This table applies ALVO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ALVO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ALVO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ALVO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ALVO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ALVO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ALVO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ALVO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ALVO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ALVO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ALVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares ALVO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ALVO Weekly Price

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This chart uses ALVO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ALVO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ALVO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ALVO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.