Oversold

ALX

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth39/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

ALX's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -1.5%, operating margin -5 percentage points. The business score is 38.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $286.56. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 23.5% downside, or about $190.62, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ALX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE7.5x19x60% lower
PE percentile155070% lower
EPS$33.05$15.11119% higher
FCF$20.7M$89.9M77% lower
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ALX’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ALX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitability--
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

ALX’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

ALX PE Valuation

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This table applies ALX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ALX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ALX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ALX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ALX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ALX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ALX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ALX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ALX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ALX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ALX PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares ALX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ALX Weekly Price

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This chart uses ALX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ALX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ALX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ALX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.