Oversold

AMAT

Same as last week
Valuation23/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

AMAT's valuation is expensive while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 39.4× versus the full-history median of 20.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 15.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 23.2/100. The model applies a 41.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 23× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 32.8× PE and $17.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +7.8%, earnings +38.4%, operating margin +0.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 18.2% of revenue. The business score is 69.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $17.63 of EPS and a 32.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $577.84. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 26.6% upside, or about $577.92.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $10.37 of EPS and a 29.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $304.68 — 33% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AMAT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE39x22x76% higher
PE percentile945088% higher
EPS$11.60$7.4256% higher
FCF$5.6B$5.6B0% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

AMAT’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AMAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

AMAT’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

AMAT PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies AMAT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AMAT Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks AMAT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AMAT Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks AMAT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AMAT Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks AMAT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AMAT Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in AMAT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AMAT Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AMAT PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares AMAT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AMAT Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses AMAT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AMAT Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares AMAT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AMAT Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

AVGO

Same as last week
Valuation63/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

AVGO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 46.2× versus the full-history median of 45.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 48.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 63.4/100. The model applies a 43.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 66.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 58.4× PE and $12.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +48.7%, earnings +99.7%, operating margin +10.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 44.2% of revenue. The business score is 94.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $12.07 of EPS and a 58.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $705.16 — 94% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $6.98 of EPS and a 39.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $274.35 — 24% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AVGO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE46x56x17% lower
PE percentile51501% higher
EPS$7.83$2.54208% higher
FCF$39.4B$18.4B114% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

AVGO’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AVGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

AVGO’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

AVGO PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies AVGO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AVGO Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks AVGO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AVGO Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks AVGO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AVGO Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks AVGO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AVGO Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in AVGO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AVGO Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AVGO PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares AVGO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AVGO Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses AVGO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AVGO Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares AVGO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AVGO Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.