Oversold

AMAT

Same as last week
Valuation23/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

AMAT's valuation is expensive while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 39.4× versus the full-history median of 20.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 15.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 23.2/100. The model applies a 41.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 23× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 32.8× PE and $17.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +7.8%, earnings +38.4%, operating margin +0.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 18.2% of revenue. The business score is 69.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $17.63 of EPS and a 32.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $577.84. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 26.6% upside, or about $577.92.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $10.37 of EPS and a 29.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $304.68 — 33% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AMAT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE39x22x76% higher
PE percentile945088% higher
EPS$11.60$7.4256% higher
FCF$5.6B$5.6B0% lower
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AMAT’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AMAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

AMAT’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

AMAT PE Valuation

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This table applies AMAT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AMAT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AMAT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AMAT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AMAT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AMAT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AMAT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AMAT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AMAT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AMAT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AMAT PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AMAT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AMAT Weekly Price

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This chart uses AMAT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AMAT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AMAT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AMAT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

IONQ

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth66/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential61/ 100

IONQ's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +370.6%, operating margin +259.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is -196.3% of revenue. The business score is 65.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 62.4% upside, or about $59.68.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 47.7%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 60.8% downside, or about $14.41, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

IONQ vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$4.66-$1.04$3.62 lower
FCF-$483.9M-$109.4M-$374.4M
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IONQ’s earnings are below their historical averages.

IONQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning negative
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

IONQ’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

IONQ PE Valuation

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This table applies IONQ's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

IONQ Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks IONQ's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

IONQ Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks IONQ's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

IONQ Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks IONQ's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

IONQ Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in IONQ's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

IONQ Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

IONQ PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares IONQ's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

IONQ Weekly Price

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This chart uses IONQ's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

IONQ Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares IONQ's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

IONQ Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.