Oversold

AMAT

Same as last week
Valuation23/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

AMAT's valuation is expensive while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 39.4× versus the full-history median of 20.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 15.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 23.2/100. The model applies a 41.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 23× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 32.8× PE and $17.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +7.8%, earnings +38.4%, operating margin +0.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 18.2% of revenue. The business score is 69.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $17.63 of EPS and a 32.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $577.84. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 26.6% upside, or about $577.92.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $10.37 of EPS and a 29.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $304.68 — 33% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AMAT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE39x22x76% higher
PE percentile945088% higher
EPS$11.60$7.4256% higher
FCF$5.6B$5.6B0% lower
Loading historical comparisons…

AMAT’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AMAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

AMAT’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

AMAT PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies AMAT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AMAT Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks AMAT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AMAT Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks AMAT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AMAT Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks AMAT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AMAT Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in AMAT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AMAT Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AMAT PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares AMAT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AMAT Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses AMAT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AMAT Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares AMAT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AMAT Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

NBIS

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth66/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential64/ 100

NBIS's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +460.9%, operating margin +148.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -434.2% of revenue. The business score is 65.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 83.7% upside, or about $412.50.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 33.6%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 64.4% downside, or about $79.94, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

NBIS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE805x146x449% higher
PE percentile9849100% higher
EPS-$0.13$0.67119% lower
FCF-$5.9B-$73.1M-$5.8B
Loading historical comparisons…

NBIS’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

NBIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss widening
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

NBIS’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

NBIS PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies NBIS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

NBIS Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks NBIS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

NBIS Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks NBIS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

NBIS Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks NBIS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

NBIS Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in NBIS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

NBIS Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

NBIS PE vs Communication Services Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares NBIS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

NBIS Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses NBIS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

NBIS Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares NBIS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

NBIS Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.