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AMAT

Same as last week
Valuation23/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

AMAT's valuation is expensive while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 39.4× versus the full-history median of 20.1× shown in the valuation table, producing 15.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 23.2/100. The model applies a 41.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 23× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 32.8× PE and $17.6 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +7.8%, earnings +38.4%, operating margin +0.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 18.2% of revenue. The business score is 69.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $17.63 of EPS and a 32.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $577.84. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 26.6% upside, or about $577.92.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $10.37 of EPS and a 29.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $304.68 — 33% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AMAT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE39x22x76% higher
PE percentile945088% higher
EPS$11.60$7.4256% higher
FCF$5.6B$5.6B0% lower
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AMAT’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AMAT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

AMAT’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

AMAT PE Valuation

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This table applies AMAT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AMAT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AMAT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AMAT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AMAT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AMAT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AMAT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AMAT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AMAT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AMAT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AMAT PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AMAT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AMAT Weekly Price

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This chart uses AMAT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AMAT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AMAT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AMAT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

PYPL

Same as last week
Valuation90/ 100
Cash flow & growth58/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

PYPL's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages, but expected margin pressure tempers an otherwise stable outlook.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 10.2× versus the full-history median of 26.3× shown in the valuation table, producing 90.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 90.3/100. The model applies a 8.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 15.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 12× PE and $6.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +5.7%, earnings +13%, operating margin +0.6 percentage points. The business score is 58.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.15 of EPS and a 12× PE, suggesting a share price of about $73.57. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 36.9% upside, or about $73.54.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.59 of EPS and a 9.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $44.56 — 17% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

PYPL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE10x36x72% lower
PE percentile7.25086% lower
EPS$5.29$3.6844% higher
FCF$6.6B$5.1B28% higher
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PYPL’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

PYPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionTight

PYPL’s outlook is generally stable, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

PYPL PE Valuation

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This table applies PYPL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

PYPL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks PYPL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

PYPL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks PYPL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

PYPL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks PYPL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

PYPL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in PYPL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

PYPL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

PYPL PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares PYPL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

PYPL Weekly Price

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This chart uses PYPL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

PYPL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares PYPL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

PYPL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.