Oversold

AMC

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential51/ 100

AMC's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +6.4%, operating margin +4.5 percentage points. The business score is 63.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 46.8% upside, or about $3.61.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.8%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 51.1% downside, or about $1.20, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AMC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$1.07-$48.01$46.95 higher
FCF-$21.4M-$651.3M+$629.9M
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AMC’s earnings are above their historical averages.

AMC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

AMC’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AMC PE Valuation

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This table applies AMC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AMC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AMC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AMC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AMC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AMC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AMC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AMC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AMC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AMC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AMC PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares AMC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AMC Weekly Price

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This chart uses AMC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AMC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AMC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AMC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

DIS

Same as last week
Valuation85/ 100
Cash flow & growth56/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

DIS's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22× versus the full-history median of 41× shown in the valuation table, producing 83.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 85/100. The model applies a 18.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 24.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 24.7× PE and $6.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +4.6%, earnings -24%, operating margin +1.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 8.4% of revenue. The business score is 56.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.18 of EPS and a 24.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $152.46. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 43.1% upside, or about $152.47.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $4.16 of EPS and a 18.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $77.41 — 27% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

DIS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x60x63% lower
PE percentile255051% lower
EPS$4.85$2.07134% higher
FCF$8.3B$5B66% higher
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DIS’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

DIS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

DIS’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

DIS PE Valuation

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This table applies DIS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

DIS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks DIS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

DIS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks DIS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

DIS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks DIS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

DIS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in DIS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

DIS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

DIS PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares DIS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

DIS Weekly Price

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This chart uses DIS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

DIS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares DIS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

DIS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.