Oversold

AMD

Valuation52/ 100
Cash flow & growth91/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

AMD's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 3 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.6%, from $465.58 to $477.57. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 2.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 132.3× versus the full-history median of 108.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 36.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 52/100. The model applies a 45.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 113.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 156.3× PE and $6.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +39.5%, earnings +122.9%, operating margin +8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 20.3% of revenue. The business score is 90.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.10 of EPS and a 156.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $953.28. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 84.7% upside, or about $953.29.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.47 of EPS and a 93.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $324.99 — 37% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AMD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE132x164x19% lower
PE percentile665033% higher
EPS$3.90$1.57149% higher
FCF$8.4B$3B184% higher
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AMD’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

AMD’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

AMD PE Valuation

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This table applies AMD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AMD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AMD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AMD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AMD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AMD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AMD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AMD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AMD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AMD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AMD Weekly Price

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This chart uses AMD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AMD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AMD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

AUR

ValuationN/A
Cash flow & growthN/A
Upside potentialN/A
Risk potentialN/A

Valuation

The valuation score compares today’s PE with recent history and similar earnings periods. Stronger growth supports a higher valuation; weaker growth lowers it. Earnings that are difficult to compare receive less weight.

Cash flow & growth

The business score reflects revenue and earnings growth, profit margins and free cash flow. Recent results show whether the business is improving or weakening. Measures must fit the business; incomplete or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate upside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Reliable data is insufficient to calculate downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AUR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.47-$0.79$0.32 higher
FCF-$751M-$557.9M-$193.1M
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AUR’s earnings are above their historical averages.

AUR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss stable
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

AUR’s outlook is mixed, though analyst coverage is limited.

AUR PE Valuation

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This table applies AUR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AUR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AUR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AUR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AUR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AUR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AUR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AUR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AUR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AUR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AUR PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AUR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AUR Weekly Price

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This chart uses AUR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AUR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AUR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AUR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.