Oversold

AMD

Valuation52/ 100
Cash flow & growth91/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

AMD's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 3 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.6%, from $465.58 to $477.57. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 2.6 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 132.3× versus the full-history median of 108.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 36.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 52/100. The model applies a 45.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 113.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 156.3× PE and $6.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +39.5%, earnings +122.9%, operating margin +8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 20.3% of revenue. The business score is 90.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $6.10 of EPS and a 156.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $953.28. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 84.7% upside, or about $953.29.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.47 of EPS and a 93.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $324.99 — 37% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AMD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE132x164x19% lower
PE percentile665033% higher
EPS$3.90$1.57149% higher
FCF$8.4B$3B184% higher
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AMD’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

AMD’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

AMD PE Valuation

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This table applies AMD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AMD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AMD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AMD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AMD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AMD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AMD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AMD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AMD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AMD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AMD PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AMD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AMD Weekly Price

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This chart uses AMD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AMD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AMD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AMD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

DIOD

Valuation17/ 100
Cash flow & growth74/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

DIOD's valuation is expensive while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 11 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 4.3%, from $88.00 to $91.79. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 11.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 51.4× versus the full-history median of 23.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 12.4/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 17.4/100. The model applies a 41.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 38.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 49.1× PE and $2.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +17.8%, earnings +34.6%, operating margin +1.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 8.7% of revenue. The business score is 73.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.83 of EPS and a 49.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $139.03. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 46.3% upside, or about $139.00.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.61 of EPS and a 37.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $59.71 — 37% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

DIOD vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE51x29x79% higher
PE percentile905080% higher
EPS$1.85$3.6950% lower
FCF$142.5M$135.7M5% higher
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DIOD’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

DIOD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

DIOD’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

DIOD PE Valuation

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This table applies DIOD's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

DIOD Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks DIOD's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

DIOD Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks DIOD's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

DIOD Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks DIOD's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

DIOD Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in DIOD's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

DIOD Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

DIOD PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares DIOD's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

DIOD Weekly Price

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This chart uses DIOD's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

DIOD Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares DIOD's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

DIOD Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.