Oversold

AOS

Same as last week
Valuation64/ 100
Cash flow & growth55/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

AOS's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 16× versus the full-history median of 20.5× shown in the valuation table, producing 66.3/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 63.5/100. The model applies a 5.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 18.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 17.9× PE and $4.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +0.4%, earnings 0%, operating margin -1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 16.8% of revenue. The business score is 55.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $4.07 of EPS and a 17.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $72.62. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 26.5% upside, or about $72.60.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $3.05 of EPS and a 15.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $46.98 — 18% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AOS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE16x23x31% lower
PE percentile165068% lower
EPS$3.59$2.9621% higher
FCF$639.4M$504.4M27% higher
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AOS’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AOS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

AOS’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

AOS PE Valuation

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This table applies AOS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AOS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AOS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AOS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AOS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AOS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AOS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AOS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AOS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AOS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AOS PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares AOS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AOS Weekly Price

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This chart uses AOS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AOS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AOS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AOS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.