Oversold

AOUT

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth56/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

AOUT's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 2 points, mainly due to business results and financial strength. Price rose 39.5%, from $10.38 to $14.48. Reported annual EPS changed from $-0.73 to $-0.31.

Business results and financial strength added 2.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -5.8%, operating margin +1.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 10.6% of revenue. The business score is 55.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 29.6% upside, or about $18.77.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 40.2% downside, or about $8.66, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AOUT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE10x15x34% lower
PE percentile051100% lower
EPS-$0.31-$1.82$1.51 higher
FCF$20.9M$9.2M128% higher
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AOUT’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AOUT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

AOUT’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AOUT PE Valuation

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This table applies AOUT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AOUT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AOUT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AOUT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AOUT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AOUT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AOUT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AOUT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AOUT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AOUT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AOUT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

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This chart compares AOUT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Consumer Cyclical sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AOUT Weekly Price

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This chart uses AOUT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AOUT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AOUT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AOUT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.