Oversold

APH

Valuation38/ 100
Cash flow & growth87/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

APH's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 7 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 47.5%, from $157.74 to $82.78.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 7.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 42× versus the full-history median of 30.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 29.6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 37.9/100. The model applies a 31.7% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 37.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 41.5× PE and $2.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +54.2%, earnings +59.4%, operating margin +4.2 percentage points. Free cash flow is 16.2% of revenue. The business score is 86.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.84 of EPS and a 41.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $117.87. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 40.5% upside, or about $117.91.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.74 of EPS and a 33.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $57.77 — 31% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

APH vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE42x31x33% higher
PE percentile905080% higher
EPS$2.00$1.6621% higher
FCF$4.7B$2.1B122% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

APH’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

APH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

APH’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

APH PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies APH's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

APH Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks APH's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

APH Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks APH's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

APH Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks APH's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

APH Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in APH's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

APH Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

APH PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares APH's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

APH Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses APH's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

APH Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares APH's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

APH Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

MU

Same as last week
Valuation63/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

MU's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.1× versus the full-history median of 21.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 49.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 62.6/100. The model applies a 44.2% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 24.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 29.3× PE and $68.7 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +167%, earnings +696%, operating margin +43.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is 29% of revenue. The business score is 93.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $68.71 of EPS and a 29.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $2013.06. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 106.4% upside, or about $2012.94.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $38.88 of EPS and a 17.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $684.31 — 30% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

MU vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x27x17% lower
PE percentile52503% higher
EPS$44.21$3.891,037% higher
FCF$26.2B$748.2M3,398% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

MU’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionWide

MU’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

MU PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies MU's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

MU Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks MU's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks MU's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

MU Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks MU's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

MU Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in MU's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

MU Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares MU's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

MU Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses MU's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares MU's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

MU Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.