Oversold

API

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth65/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential55/ 100

API's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 4 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 3.4%, from $4.10 to $4.24.

Valuation and price changes added 3.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +13.7%, operating margin +22.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is -12.6% of revenue. The business score is 65.3/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 41.7% upside, or about $6.01.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.9%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 55.2% downside, or about $1.90, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

API vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE37x990x96% lower
PE percentile285044% lower
EPS$0.11-$0.51$0.62 higher
FCF-$19.1M-$69.2M+$50.1M
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API’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

API Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsTurning negative
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

API’s outlook is weakening, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

API PE Valuation

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This table applies API's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

API Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks API's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

API Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks API's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

API Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks API's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

API Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in API's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

API Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

API PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares API's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

API Weekly Price

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This chart uses API's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

API Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares API's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

API Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.