Oversold

APP

Same as last week
Valuation92/ 100
Cash flow & growth95/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

APP's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 24.9× versus the full-history median of 66.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 90.9/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 92.1/100. The model applies a 29.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 60.1× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 35.2× PE and $18.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +47.6%, earnings +84.8%, operating margin +13.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 65.9% of revenue. The business score is 94.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $18.18 of EPS and a 35.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $639.47. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 97.4% upside, or about $639.50.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $11.37 of EPS and a 22.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $252.31 — 22% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

APP vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE25x140x82% lower
PE percentile2.45095% lower
EPS$13.01$2.21488% higher
FCF$4.5B$1.3B233% higher
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APP’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

APP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

APP’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

APP PE Valuation

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This table applies APP's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

APP Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks APP's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

APP Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks APP's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

APP Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks APP's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

APP Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in APP's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

APP Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

APP PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares APP's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

APP Weekly Price

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This chart uses APP's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

APP Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares APP's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

APP Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

QCOM

Valuation26/ 100
Cash flow & growth48/ 100
Upside potential16/ 100
Risk potential54/ 100

QCOM's valuation is somewhat elevated, fundamentals are above averages, but weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though estimates vary widely.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 2.8%, from $164.19 to $168.74. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 20.8× versus the full-history median of 18.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 41.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 25.7/100. The model applies a -15.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 18.9× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 17.8× PE and $8.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +1.9%, earnings -15.4%, operating margin -4.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 23.6% of revenue. The business score is 47.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $8.20 of EPS and a 17.8× PE, suggesting about $145.46 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $209.27. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $5.72 of EPS and a 14.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $83.45 — 54% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

QCOM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE21x19x7% higher
PE percentile575013% higher
EPS$8.76$8.029% higher
FCF$10.4B$9.6B8% higher
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QCOM’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

QCOM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsDecline
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

QCOM’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

QCOM PE Valuation

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This table applies QCOM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

QCOM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks QCOM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

QCOM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks QCOM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

QCOM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks QCOM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

QCOM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in QCOM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

QCOM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

QCOM PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares QCOM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

QCOM Weekly Price

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This chart uses QCOM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

QCOM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares QCOM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

QCOM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.