Oversold

APWC

Valuation85/ 100
Cash flow & growth64/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

APWC's valuation is historically cheap while fundamentals are somewhat mixed.

Score change since last week

The score rose 10 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 2.8%, from $1.41 to $1.37. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 10.3 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 4.4× versus the full-history median of 8.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 85.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 84.9/100. The model applies a 7.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 8.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 5.4× PE and $0.4 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +9%, earnings +100.3%, operating margin +0.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is -1.9% of revenue. The business score is 63.5/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $0.37 of EPS and a 5.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $1.99 — 45% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.24 of EPS and a 4.2× PE, suggesting a share price of about $1.02 — 25% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

APWC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE4.4x49x91% lower
PE percentile050100% lower
EPS$0.31$0.07354% higher
FCF-$10M-$18.7M+$8.7M
Loading historical comparisons…

APWC’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

APWC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earnings--
Forward revenue--
Forward profitability--
Analyst coverage--
Estimate dispersion--

APWC PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies APWC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

APWC Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks APWC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

APWC Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks APWC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

APWC Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks APWC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

APWC Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in APWC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

APWC Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

APWC PE vs Industrials Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares APWC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

APWC Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses APWC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

APWC Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares APWC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

APWC Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.