Oversold

ARL

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth43/ 100
Upside potential41/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

ARL's valuation appears fair and fundamentals are somewhat mixed.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +6.8%, operating margin -6.4 percentage points. The business score is 42.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 27.9% upside, or about $19.95.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 40.7% downside, or about $9.25, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ARL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE30x24x28% higher
PE percentile765052% higher
EPS$0.52$3.9587% lower
FCF-$8.3M-$15.2M+$6.9M
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ARL’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

ARL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
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ARL PE Valuation

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This table applies ARL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ARL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ARL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ARL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ARL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ARL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ARL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ARL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ARL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ARL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ARL PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares ARL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ARL Weekly Price

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This chart uses ARL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ARL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ARL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ARL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.