Oversold

AROC

Valuation43/ 100
Cash flow & growth52/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

AROC's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and the outlook is broadly stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 1 point, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price rose 4.6%, from $31.24 to $32.69. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the higher price reduced valuation support.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 0.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Estimated operating-earnings valuation: current PE is 26.1x versus 21.3x in comparable estimated history. The model caps earnings at operating profit after interest, assuming proportional tax and per-share effects. This is an estimate, not a verified investment-gain adjustment.

Reported EPS and PE remain in the valuation table. The same estimate is applied to historical earnings and eligible price scenarios. Its contribution to the score is limited by the available evidence; it does not identify all non-recurring items. Comparable history: 109 weeks.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +11.5%, operating margin -24.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 19.4% of revenue. The business score is 51.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $1.50 of EPS and a 24.4× PE, suggesting about $36.50 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $37.69. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.06 of EPS and a 21.1× PE, suggesting a share price of about $22.40 — 33% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AROC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE18x26x32% lower
PE percentile115078% lower
EPS$1.86$0.59218% higher
FCF$291.3M$71.4M308% higher
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AROC’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AROC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStable
Forward earningsStable
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

AROC’s outlook is generally stable, though analyst coverage is limited.

AROC PE Valuation

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This table applies AROC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AROC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AROC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AROC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AROC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AROC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AROC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AROC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AROC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AROC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AROC PE vs Energy Sector

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This chart compares AROC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Energy sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AROC Weekly Price

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This chart uses AROC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AROC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AROC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AROC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.