Oversold

ASIC

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

ASIC's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: limited comparable growth data. The business score is 50/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 25.8% upside, or about $34.56.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 34.2% downside, or about $18.08, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ASIC vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE13x16x18% lower
PE percentile395022% lower
EPS$2.14$1.4548% higher
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ASIC’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ASIC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

ASIC’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

ASIC PE Valuation

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This table applies ASIC's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ASIC Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ASIC's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ASIC Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ASIC's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ASIC Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ASIC's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ASIC Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ASIC's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ASIC Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ASIC PE vs Financial Services Sector

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This chart compares ASIC's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Financial Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ASIC Weekly Price

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This chart uses ASIC's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ASIC Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ASIC's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ASIC Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.