Oversold

ASPS

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth49/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential57/ 100

ASPS's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +8.5%, operating margin -2.5 percentage points. The business score is 49.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 58.4% upside, or about $8.95.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 56.7% downside, or about $2.45, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ASPS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE10x46x78% lower
PE percentile7.35186% lower
EPS-$0.99-$3.69$2.70 higher
FCF-$2M-$28.4M+$26.4M
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ASPS’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ASPS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

ASPS’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

ASPS PE Valuation

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This table applies ASPS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ASPS Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ASPS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ASPS Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ASPS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ASPS Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ASPS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ASPS Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ASPS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ASPS Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ASPS PE vs Real Estate Sector

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This chart compares ASPS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Real Estate sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ASPS Weekly Price

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This chart uses ASPS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ASPS Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ASPS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ASPS Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.