Oversold

ASR

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth39/ 100
Upside potential27/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

ASR's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal, while forward estimates point to earnings growth and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue +12.9%, earnings -19.7%, operating margin -11.1 percentage points. Free cash flow is -3.1% of revenue. The business score is 38.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $289.54. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 38.4% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 24.7% and the PE falls 18.2%. That gives $13.98 per share at a 11.1× PE, or about $155.06. Price swings alone suggest 26.7% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ASR vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE14x18x23% lower
PE percentile49503% lower
EPS$18.57$15.1123% higher
FCF-$67.1M$377.3M118% lower
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ASR’s fundamentals are mixed relative to their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ASR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStable
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

ASR’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

ASR PE Valuation

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This table applies ASR's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ASR Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ASR's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ASR Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ASR's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ASR Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ASR's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ASR Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ASR's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ASR Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ASR PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares ASR's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ASR Weekly Price

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This chart uses ASR's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ASR Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ASR's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ASR Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

RKLB

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth77/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential56/ 100

RKLB's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +52.5%, operating margin +15 percentage points. The business score is 76.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 67.9% upside, or about $105.69.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 28.2%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 55.6% downside, or about $27.95, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

RKLB vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.28-$0.31$0.04 higher
FCF-$398.4M-$148.2M-$250.1M
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RKLB’s earnings are above their historical averages.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

RKLB’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

RKLB PE Valuation

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This table applies RKLB's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks RKLB's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks RKLB's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks RKLB's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

RKLB Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in RKLB's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

RKLB Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

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This chart compares RKLB's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Industrials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

RKLB Weekly Price

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This chart uses RKLB's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares RKLB's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

RKLB Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.