Oversold

ASTL

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth44/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

ASTL's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed and the outlook sends mixed signals, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue -32.3%. The business score is 43.8/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 31.5% upside, or about $6.19.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 41.9% downside, or about $2.74, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ASTL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE5.1x2.8x85% higher
PE percentile895078% higher
EPS-$7.43$0.262,975% lower
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ASTL’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

ASTL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong decline
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

ASTL’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

ASTL PE Valuation

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This table applies ASTL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ASTL Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ASTL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ASTL Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ASTL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ASTL Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ASTL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ASTL Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ASTL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ASTL Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ASTL PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares ASTL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ASTL Weekly Price

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This chart uses ASTL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ASTL Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ASTL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ASTL Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.