Oversold

ASTS

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth77/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential65/ 100

ASTS's valuation appears fair while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to narrowing losses and improving margins, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +2256.9%, operating margin +4623 percentage points. The business score is 77/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 81.1% upside, or about $108.41.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 29%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 64.9% downside, or about $21.01, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ASTS vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$2.16-$1.04$1.12 lower
FCF-$1.6B-$350.8M-$1.3B
Loading historical comparisons…

ASTS’s earnings are below their historical averages.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuation--
Forward earningsLoss narrowing
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

ASTS’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

ASTS PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies ASTS's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks ASTS's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks ASTS's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks ASTS's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ASTS Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in ASTS's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ASTS Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares ASTS's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ASTS Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses ASTS's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares ASTS's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ASTS Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

DELL

Same as last week
Valuation17/ 100
Cash flow & growth80/ 100
Upside potential40/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

DELL's valuation is expensive, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth, though estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 32.9× versus the full-history median of 14.9× shown in the valuation table, producing 12.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 16.8/100. The model applies a 39.3% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 19.6× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 25.8× PE and $26 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +49.2%, earnings +153.4%, operating margin +2.8 percentage points. Free cash flow is 5.7% of revenue. The business score is 80/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $26.00 of EPS and a 25.8× PE, suggesting a share price of about $671.03. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 18.3% upside, or about $671.10.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $14.95 of EPS and a 22.9× PE, suggesting a share price of about $342.56 — 40% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

DELL vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE33x15x120% higher
PE percentile955090% higher
EPS$17.23$5.68204% higher
FCF$8.6B$5.8B49% higher
Loading historical comparisons…

DELL’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

DELL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStable
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionWide

DELL’s outlook is generally improving, though analysts differ widely on the estimates.

DELL PE Valuation

Loading pe valuation table…

This table applies DELL's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

DELL Earnings Per Share

Loading earnings per share…

This chart tracks DELL's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

DELL Quarterly Revenue

Loading quarterly revenue…

This chart tracks DELL's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

DELL Free Cash Flow

Loading free cash flow…

This chart tracks DELL's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

DELL Total Shares

Loading shares over time…

This chart tracks changes in DELL's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

DELL Net Leverage

Loading net leverage…

Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

DELL PE vs Technology Sector

Loading pe vs sector average…

This chart compares DELL's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

DELL Weekly Price

Loading weekly price…

This chart uses DELL's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

DELL Weekly Moving Averages

Loading weekly moving averages…

This chart compares DELL's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

DELL Yearly ROI

Loading yearly ROI…

Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.