Oversold

ASX

Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth61/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

ASX's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 11 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 0.7%, from $37.78 to $37.51.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 10.7 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +16.6%, earnings +78.8%, operating margin +2.8 percentage points. The business score is 61.4/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 27.8% upside, or about $50.44.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 19.9%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 33% downside, or about $26.44, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ASX vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE45x23x100% higher
PE percentile885076% higher
EPS$0.87$0.5947% higher
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ASX’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

ASX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

ASX’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

ASX PE Valuation

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This table applies ASX's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ASX Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ASX's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ASX Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ASX's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ASX Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ASX's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ASX Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ASX's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ASX Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ASX PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares ASX's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ASX Weekly Price

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This chart uses ASX's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ASX Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ASX's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ASX Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.