Oversold

ATHM

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth28/ 100
Upside potential19/ 100
Risk potential59/ 100

ATHM's valuation appears fair, below average fundamentals limit its appeal and expected margin pressure limits the outlook, though analyst coverage is limited and estimates vary widely.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are weak. Over the past year: revenue -19%, operating margin -7.8 percentage points. The business score is 27.7/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 15% upside, or about $25.33. This uses the 15% minimum allowance.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

The 59.4% downside is driven by operating stress: the model assumes earnings fall 43.6% and the PE falls 28.1%. That gives $1.94 per share at a 4.6× PE, or about $8.94. Price swings alone suggest 26.6% downside.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

ATHM vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE6.4x11x43% lower
PE percentile125076% lower
EPS$3.44$3.0513% higher
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ATHM’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

ATHM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueDecline
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionWide

ATHM’s outlook is mixed, with declining sales expectations a concern.

ATHM PE Valuation

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This table applies ATHM's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

ATHM Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks ATHM's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

ATHM Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks ATHM's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

ATHM Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks ATHM's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

ATHM Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in ATHM's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

ATHM Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

ATHM PE vs Communication Services Sector

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This chart compares ATHM's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Communication Services sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

ATHM Weekly Price

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This chart uses ATHM's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

ATHM Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares ATHM's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

ATHM Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.