Oversold

AUPH

Valuation60/ 100
Cash flow & growth92/ 100
Upside potential43/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

AUPH's valuation appears fair while strong fundamentals support the investment case and weaker than expected earnings are holding it back, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score rose 3 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.3%, from $16.29 to $16.08. Reported EPS was unchanged, so the lower price improved valuation support.

Valuation and price changes added 2.8 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 7× versus the full-history median of 26.6× shown in the valuation table, producing 60.2/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 60/100. The model applies a -3.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 25.5× (18-month half-life). A reliable earnings-based price target is unavailable. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +19.8%, earnings +447.2%, operating margin +28.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is 55.7% of revenue. The business score is 91.6/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Business trends and outlook support upside. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 25.8% upside, or about $20.25.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 24%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 34.3% downside, or about $10.58, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AUPH vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE7x41x83% lower
PE percentile205060% lower
EPS$2.29-$0.43$2.72 higher
FCF$173.6M-$29.2M+$202.8M
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AUPH’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AUPH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly deteriorating
Forward earningsStrong decline
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly contracting
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

AUPH’s outlook is mixed, with weaker expected earnings weighing on the picture.

AUPH PE Valuation

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This table applies AUPH's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AUPH Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AUPH's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AUPH Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AUPH's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AUPH Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AUPH's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AUPH Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AUPH's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AUPH Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AUPH PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares AUPH's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AUPH Weekly Price

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This chart uses AUPH's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AUPH Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AUPH's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AUPH Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.