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AVGO

Same as last week
Valuation63/ 100
Cash flow & growth94/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

AVGO's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are above averages and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 46.2× versus the full-history median of 45.4× shown in the valuation table, producing 48.7/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 63.4/100. The model applies a 43.6% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 66.2× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 58.4× PE and $12.1 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +48.7%, earnings +99.7%, operating margin +10.6 percentage points. Free cash flow is 44.2% of revenue. The business score is 94.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $12.07 of EPS and a 58.4× PE, suggesting a share price of about $705.16 — 94% above today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $6.98 of EPS and a 39.3× PE, suggesting a share price of about $274.35 — 24% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AVGO vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE46x56x17% lower
PE percentile51501% higher
EPS$7.83$2.54208% higher
FCF$39.4B$18.4B114% higher
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AVGO’s earnings and cash flow are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AVGO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageBroad
Estimate dispersionModerate

AVGO’s outlook is generally improving, with growth expectations supporting the valuation case.

AVGO PE Valuation

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This table applies AVGO's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AVGO Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AVGO's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AVGO Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AVGO's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AVGO Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AVGO's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AVGO Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AVGO's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AVGO Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AVGO PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AVGO's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AVGO Weekly Price

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This chart uses AVGO's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AVGO Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AVGO's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AVGO Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.

SMCI

Valuation82/ 100
Cash flow & growth66/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

SMCI's valuation is historically cheap, fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to earnings and revenue growth despite pressure on margins.

Score change since last week

The score rose 9 points, mainly due to business results and financial strength. Price rose 6.8%, from $37.08 to $39.59. Reported annual EPS changed from $1.91 to $3.26.

Business results and financial strength added 5.4 points. Valuation and price changes added 3.9 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 12.3× versus the full-history median of 18.7× shown in the valuation table, producing 75.5/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 81.6/100. The model applies a 37.5% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 20.5× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 19.5× PE and $4.8 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +77.8%, earnings +183.5%, operating margin +1.4 percentage points. Free cash flow is -17.8% of revenue. The business score is 65.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $4.85 of EPS and a 19.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $94.49. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 135.6% upside, or about $94.48.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $2.83 of EPS and a 10.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $29.71 — 26% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

SMCI vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE12x21x42% lower
PE percentile145071% lower
EPS$3.26$1.02219% higher
FCF-$7B-$611.5M-$6.4B
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SMCI’s earnings are above their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

SMCI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityContracting
Analyst coverageModerate
Estimate dispersionModerate

SMCI’s outlook is generally improving, with narrowing profit margins the main concern.

SMCI PE Valuation

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This table applies SMCI's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

SMCI Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks SMCI's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

SMCI Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks SMCI's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

SMCI Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks SMCI's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

SMCI Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in SMCI's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

SMCI Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

SMCI PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares SMCI's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

SMCI Weekly Price

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This chart uses SMCI's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

SMCI Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares SMCI's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

SMCI Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.