Oversold

AVNT

Same as last week
Valuation48/ 100
Cash flow & growth63/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

AVNT's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are below averages, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 22.4× versus the full-history median of 22× shown in the valuation table, producing 48.8/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 47.6/100. The model applies a 8.1% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 25.4× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 25.5× PE and $2.2 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +2.4%, earnings +44.5%, operating margin +1.7 percentage points. Free cash flow is 1.6% of revenue. The business score is 63.1/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Stronger earnings and valuation could support a higher share price.

Our favorable case uses $2.16 of EPS and a 25.5× PE, suggesting a share price of about $54.94. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The displayed favorable scenario is 32.7% upside, or about $54.95.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $1.57 of EPS and a 20.6× PE, suggesting a share price of about $32.35 — 22% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AVNT vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE22x26x15% lower
PE percentile51502% higher
EPS$1.85$3.0239% lower
FCF$54.5M$163.7M67% lower
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AVNT’s earnings and cash flow are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is lower.

AVNT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationImproving
Forward earningsGrowth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityExpanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

AVNT’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AVNT PE Valuation

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This table applies AVNT's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AVNT Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AVNT's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AVNT Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AVNT's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AVNT Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AVNT's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AVNT Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AVNT's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AVNT Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AVNT PE vs Basic Materials Sector

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This chart compares AVNT's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Basic Materials sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AVNT Weekly Price

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This chart uses AVNT's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AVNT Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AVNT's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AVNT Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.