Oversold

AVNW

Valuation6/ 100
Cash flow & growth70/ 100
Upside potential33/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

AVNW's valuation is expensive while fundamentals provide solid support and forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Score change since last week

The score fell 13 points, mainly due to valuation and price changes. Price fell 1.1%, from $20.00 to $19.78.

Valuation and price changes subtracted 13.4 points. The comparison uses the same available inputs on both dates. Displayed changes are rounded to whole points.

Valuation

Historical cheapness: current PE is 102.8× versus the full-history median of 23.8× shown in the valuation table, producing 6/100. Positive weekly observations receive equal weight; lower past EPS alone does not disqualify them.

Outlook-adjusted valuation: 6.3/100. The model applies a 25.9% earnings-growth assumption and a 10% annual return hurdle, with positive credit limited by evidence coverage and confidence.

Forward price scenarios use recent PE history separately. Recent history has a separately weighted median of 24.8× (18-month half-life). The favorable scenario uses 83.8× PE and $0.3 projected EPS, informed by growth, margins and earnings-quality checks. This is a model scenario, not an analyst target. A return to the full-history median is not assumed.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are strong. Over the past year: revenue +1.2%, earnings +140.6%, operating margin +6.9 percentage points. Free cash flow is 1.4% of revenue. The business score is 70.2/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

The earnings calculation and the displayed scenario are different.

The earnings case uses $0.26 of EPS and a 83.8× PE, suggesting about $21.99 before the minimum is applied. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

The model applies a 15% minimum upside scenario, so the card shows +15%, or about $22.75. That adjusted price does not come from the EPS × PE calculation above.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Weaker than expected earnings could put pressure on the share price.

Our downside case uses $0.16 of EPS and a 77.7× PE, suggesting a share price of about $12.80 — 35% below today’s price. Valuation history and outlook inform the PE.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AVNW vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
PE103x31x227% higher
PE percentile965093% higher
EPS$0.19$2.1291% lower
FCF$6.1M-$1M+$7.1M
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AVNW’s earnings are below their historical averages, while its earnings multiple is higher.

AVNW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueGrowth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionModerate

AVNW’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AVNW PE Valuation

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This table applies AVNW's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AVNW Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AVNW's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AVNW Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AVNW's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AVNW Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AVNW's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AVNW Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AVNW's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AVNW Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AVNW PE vs Technology Sector

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This chart compares AVNW's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Technology sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AVNW Weekly Price

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This chart uses AVNW's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AVNW Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AVNW's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AVNW Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.