Oversold

AXGN

Same as last week
Valuation50/ 100
Cash flow & growth50/ 100
Upside potential46/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

AXGN's valuation appears fair, fundamentals are somewhat mixed, while forward estimates point to improving growth and profitability, though analyst coverage is limited.

Valuation

Valuation stays neutral because earnings are difficult to compare across periods. Business trends, outlook and financial risk still contribute to the overall score.

Cash flow & growth

Business trends are mixed. Over the past year: revenue +23.6%, operating margin -6 percentage points. The business score is 49.9/100. Growth, margins and cash generation drive the score. Missing or older data receives less weight.

Favorable scenario

Weaker business results limit upside support. Price history provides the reference because earnings are difficult to compare.

The calculation starts with the stock’s typical weekly price movements, adjusted for business performance and outlook. Unusually large jumps have less influence. The result is 40.1% upside, or about $59.07.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

Downside scenario

Historical price swings are the main risk driver, even without a sharp profit decline.

The stock’s historical price swings drive this figure; the separate operating stress is 35.5%. Price history and operating stress provide the reference because comparable earnings do not support a future PE target. Operating stress reflects revenue, earnings, margins, outlook and relevant debt exposure. The larger stress gives 46.9% downside, or about $22.39, with a 15% minimum.

This is a scenario based on our model, not a forecast or probability.

AXGN vs Historical averages

MetricCurrentAverageRelative
EPS-$0.68-$0.50$0.17 lower
FCF$2.5M-$21.4M+$23.9M
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AXGN’s earnings are below their historical averages.

AXGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Forward valuationStrongly improving
Forward earningsStrong growth
Forward revenueStrong growth
Forward profitabilityStrongly expanding
Analyst coverageLimited
Estimate dispersionTight

AXGN’s outlook is generally improving, though analyst coverage is limited.

AXGN PE Valuation

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This table applies AXGN's historical price-to-earnings (PE) landmarks to current earnings. The implied prices are valuation scenarios, not price forecasts or targets.

AXGN Earnings Per Share

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This chart tracks AXGN's trailing twelve-month diluted earnings per share, calculated from four consecutive reported quarters to reduce seasonal noise.

AXGN Quarterly Revenue

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This chart tracks AXGN's quarterly revenue over time and shows how sales are changing from year to year.

AXGN Free Cash Flow

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This chart tracks AXGN's free cash flow over time, showing whether the business is consistently generating cash after operating costs and capital spending.

AXGN Total Shares

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This chart tracks changes in AXGN's diluted share count. A rising count can dilute existing owners, while a falling count often reflects share repurchases.

AXGN Net Leverage

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Quarterly Net Leverage uses the last 12 months of EBITDA. A falling multiple generally indicates less debt relative to earnings capacity. Negative values mean net cash; missing data or nonpositive LTM EBITDA are N/A. The table shows each period’s Net Leverage and status.

AXGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

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This chart compares AXGN's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio with the Healthcare sector average. A discount or premium can reflect differences in expected growth, profitability, or risk.

AXGN Weekly Price

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This chart uses AXGN's weekly closing prices to show the longer-term trend. The lower panes show weekly RSI and Stochastic momentum.

AXGN Weekly Moving Averages

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This chart compares AXGN's 8, 20, 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages from 2020 onward. Shorter averages react faster to price changes, while longer averages show the broader trend.

AXGN Yearly ROI

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Each line starts at 0% using the year’s first dependable weekly close and tracks the return through December, or through the latest available week for the current year.